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Does Obama Have a Demographic Firewall? Part I: 2008 Revisited

This is the first in a multi-part series. There were times when the race seemed genuinely close during the 2008 campaign. It’s easy to forget that McCain led in early September, before Lehman clarified...

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How The Youth Vote Matters

Obama’s reelection chances depend on the composition of the electorate. If the November electorate resembles the one from four years ago, Romney will need to compensate with a historic share of the...

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